Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis

Sporting Cristal Alianza Lima
78 ELO 78
17.7% Tilt 16.2%
748º General ELO ranking 717º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.6%
Sporting Cristal
24.6%
Draw
23.8%
Alianza Lima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.8%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
-4%
+8%
Alianza Lima

Points and table prediction

Sporting Cristal
Their league position
Alianza Lima
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
27
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario Deportes
29
36
27.5%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
28
35
17.5%
Alianza Lima
27
34
15%
FBC Melgar
28
33
11.5%
Sport Huancayo
26
33
16%
Sporting Cristal
25
32
21.5%
Cusco FC
24
31
18.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso
23
27
22%
ADT de Tarma
19
26
16.5%
Cienciano
10º
18
25
10º
26.5%
Atlético Grau
11º
18
25
11º
18.5%
Los Chankas
13º
15
22
12º
18.5%
Sport Boys Association
12º
16
20
13º
20%
Juan Pablo II College
14º
14
19
14º
15%
Deportivo Binacional
15º
14
18
15º
21%
UTC Cajamarca
16º
14
18
16º
19.5%
Comerciantes Unidos
18º
8
15
17º
31.5%
Alianza Universidad
19º
8
15
18º
42.5%
Ayacucho FC
17º
9
12
19º
63.5%
Expected probabilities
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Play-offs for the title
3.5% 17%
Mid-table
96.5% 83%

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
HUA
Sport Huancayo
0 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
36%
25%
38%
78 75 3 0
16 Feb. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
Sport Boys Association
SBO
71%
18%
11%
78 68 10 0
09 Feb. 2025
AUN
Alianza Universidad
2 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
32%
26%
43%
79 75 4 -1
26 Jan. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Universidad Católica
UCE
51%
23%
27%
80 81 1 -1
19 Jan. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
U. Católica
UCO
62%
20%
18%
80 77 3 0

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2025
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
56%
24%
20%
78 84 6 0
22 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
66%
22%
12%
78 38 40 0
19 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
33%
29%
38%
77 84 7 +1
15 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
3 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
39%
28%
33%
78 74 4 -1
13 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
3 - 1
Nacional
NAC
52%
25%
23%
80 75 5 -2