Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis

Sporting Cristal Alianza Lima
78 ELO 78
17.7% Tilt 16.2%
753º General ELO ranking 718º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.6%
Sporting Cristal
24.6%
Draw
23.8%
Alianza Lima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.8%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
-5%
+8%
Alianza Lima

Points and table prediction

Sporting Cristal
Their league position
Alianza Lima
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
26
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Alianza Atl. Sullana
28
35
29.5%
Universitario Deportes
26
33
18%
Alianza Lima
26
33
11.5%
FBC Melgar
25
32
14%
Sport Huancayo
25
32
12.5%
Cusco FC
23
31
15%
Deportivo Garcilaso
23
29
16.5%
Sporting Cristal
22
29
12%
ADT de Tarma
19
26
16%
Cienciano
10º
17
25
10º
19.5%
Atlético Grau
13º
15
23
11º
15%
Los Chankas
12º
15
22
12º
16.5%
Sport Boys Association
11º
16
21
13º
24.5%
UTC Cajamarca
14º
14
21
14º
21.5%
Deportivo Binacional
15º
13
20
15º
16.5%
Juan Pablo II College
16º
11
16
16º
19.5%
Comerciantes Unidos
18º
8
15
17º
23.5%
Alianza Universidad
19º
7
14
18º
25%
Ayacucho FC
17º
9
13
19º
42%
Expected probabilities
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Play-offs for the title
2.5% 20.5%
Mid-table
97.5% 79.5%

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
HUA
Sport Huancayo
0 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
36%
25%
38%
78 75 3 0
16 Feb. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
Sport Boys Association
SBO
71%
18%
11%
78 68 10 0
09 Feb. 2025
AUN
Alianza Universidad
2 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
32%
26%
43%
79 75 4 -1
26 Jan. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Universidad Católica
UCE
51%
23%
27%
80 81 1 -1
19 Jan. 2025
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
U. Católica
UCO
62%
20%
18%
80 77 3 0

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2025
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
56%
24%
20%
78 84 6 0
22 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Juan Pablo II College
JPC
66%
22%
12%
78 38 40 0
19 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
33%
29%
38%
77 84 7 +1
15 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
3 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
39%
28%
33%
78 74 4 -1
13 Feb. 2025
ALI
Alianza Lima
3 - 1
Nacional
NAC
52%
25%
23%
80 75 5 -2