Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
UTC
0 - 2
SPC
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
4 - 3
HUA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 3
SPC
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
SBO
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AGP
1 - 2
ALI
37%
27%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ADT
1 - 1
ALI
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |