Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
SBO
1 - 4
SPC
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 1
FCS
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPC
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 0
HUA
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 0
BIN
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALI
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |