Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 1
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 2
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 1
LAN
31%
25%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 5
SPC
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |