Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 0
GAL
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UNA
0 - 2
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
JAG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |