Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
GAL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
4 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 1
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALI
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
CNI
63%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |