Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 1
SPC
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
AYA
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
HUA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 0
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
0 - 3
ALI
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
AYA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 2
ALI
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALI
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |