Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SBO
0 - 1
SPC
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SPC
3 - 0
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
BOL
0 - 1
SPC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 2
CIE
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 2
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
67%
23%
11%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |