Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
BOL
0 - 1
SPC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
SPC
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 1
CIE
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAL
60%
25%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 3
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |