Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
SPC
1 - 0
CUE
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 2
SPC
32%
26%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 0
SPC
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 0
PAC
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 3
SBO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 1
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 1
CFC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BAN
3 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
TIG
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 2
ALI
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |