Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
RIV
5 - 2
SPC
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
SPC
2 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 4
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
25%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |