Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
2 - 3
AME
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
AME
2 - 2
SPC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
0 - 1
SPC
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
ALI
2 - 2
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
ALI
2 - 1
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1994 |
EME
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
BSC
3 - 0
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |