Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 0
SRP
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
SFE
3 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 4
CAN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
SAM
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
COM
5 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |