Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
PEÑ
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 0
HUA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 1
GAR
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |