Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPC
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
SPC
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 1
CIE
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
0 - 1
UNI
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAM
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 2
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 0
ALI
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
4 - 0
SBO
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |