Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
15º
1º
22
1º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
BES
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
MAF
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
43%
22%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |