Sporting CP II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
SCP
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SCP
0 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 3
OLH
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 2
SCP
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 0
CHA
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ACV
4 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
11%
21%
69%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |