Sporting CP II vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ACV
1 - 0
SCP
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
SCP
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
TON
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
SCP
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UNM
2 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UNM
0 - 2
FEI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
UNM
38%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ACV
1 - 0
UNM
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |