Sporting CP II vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
11º
5º
47
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 1
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
SCP
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALV
0 - 1
SCP
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 1
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 0
AMO
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 3
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALV
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |