Sporting CP II vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SCF
0 - 0
SCP
40%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 1
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
SCP
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 2
BMA
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AVE
4 - 0
SCP
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
FEI
0 - 0
TON
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TON
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 0
TON
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TON
0 - 0
LEX
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |