Sporting CP II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
SCP
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
3 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
OLH
2 - 2
SCP
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 1
LEX
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
SCF
2 - 3
SCP
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
ACV
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIZ
0 - 1
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
PEN
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SPC
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |