Sporting CP II vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
11º
5º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 2
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 2
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
SCP
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 1
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
SCP
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
OLH
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
PER
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
MON
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |