Sporting CP II vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 2
SCP
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 4
VSC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 2
SCF
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
FAF
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 1
VIZ
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 0
FAF
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
VSC
3 - 1
FAF
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |