Sporting CP II vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
5º
23
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SCP
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 2
CAL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 4
CAL
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEL
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |