Sporting CP II vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
5º
29
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
SCP
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
SCP
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 0
SCP
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
OLI
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALV
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |