Sporting CP II vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
SCP
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 1
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
MON
90%
7%
2%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
LOU
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SCP
0 - 1
ORI
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAL
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAL
54%
23%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
BEN
35%
26%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |