Sporting CP II vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 2
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 0
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 1
UNM
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COV
3 - 1
SCP
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 1
REA
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 3
ARO
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
REA
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ACV
1 - 3
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 0
COV
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |