Sporting CP II vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
SCP
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 2
SCP
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 0
SCP
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 0
VSC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
ARO
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 3
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 4
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |