Sporting CP II vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
5º
26
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
SCP
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
TRO
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
ACA
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 3
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
ACA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |