Sporting CP II vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
11º
5º
25
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALV
0 - 1
SCP
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
SCP
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 1
AMO
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 3
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 4
ACA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
27%
26%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
REA
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |