Sporting CP II vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
5º
11
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
SCP
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPC
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 2
SCP
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 2
ATL
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 0
1DE
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 1
PER
36%
29%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |