SC Covilha vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
ACV
1 - 1
SPC
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
FEI
19%
27%
54%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 3
ESA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
SPC
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 3
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 3
VIL
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |