SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VIZ
2 - 1
SPC
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 3
COV
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COV
2 - 1
SPC
26%
28%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAR
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAF
35%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |