SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACV
1 - 1
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 2
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LEX
1 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
SPC
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEX
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAF
2 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
COV
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |