SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 2
BMA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPC
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FEI
3 - 2
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
POR
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FAT
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |