SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 0
SPC
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 1
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VAR
0 - 0
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
VAR
3 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BMA
1 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |