SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 0
SPC
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 2
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FEI
3 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAV
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
27%
25%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 3
VAR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |