SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
FAR
7 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
SPC
1 - 1
ESP
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 3
PEN
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
VAR
3 - 1
EST
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |