SC Covilha vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
8º
24
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 1
SPC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
0 - 0
LUS
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 3
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
SPC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
1DE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 0
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 0
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 0
1DE
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
ACA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |