SC Covilha vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
11º
11º
28
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 12 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 12 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 9 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
SPC
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPC
2 - 0
DTB
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
3 - 1
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
USA
2 - 0
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
USA
0 - 0
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
3 - 1
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 0
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 0
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |