SC Covilha vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
8º
8º
23
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 2
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
40%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |