SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 1
ACV
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
FEI
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPC
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 2
MAF
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 0
PEN
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
FEI
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |