SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
COV
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
VST
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 2
SPC
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 3
LEX
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
GFC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAÇ
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |