SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 1
SPC
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 0
COV
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
REA
3 - 0
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ACV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 4
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLI
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |