SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
BMA
1 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SPC
0 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
SPC
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPC
1 - 0
AVE
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
FEL
1 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 1
SCF
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
NAV
3 - 3
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 2
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |