SC Covilha vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 1
VSC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPC
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 2
SCP
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
AVE
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
FAM
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 2
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
COV
3 - 2
NAC
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |