SC Covilha vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPC
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LEX
0 - 1
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPC
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 3
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
ACV
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SLB
3 - 1
MOR
83%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 3
SPB
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 0
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |