SC Covilha vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
6 - 2
VST
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPC
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
46%
23%
32%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
OLH
4 - 0
SPC
82%
11%
7%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
39%
24%
38%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
VST
2 - 1
LUS
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
2 - 1
LUS
94%
4%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 2
SCP
5%
10%
85%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |