SC Covilha vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPC
60%
23%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 3
UDL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SCF
0 - 0
SPC
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
BMA
44%
26%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FEI
2 - 1
SPC
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GON
3 - 0
EST
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 3
GON
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
GON
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GON
1 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UDL
3 - 1
GON
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |