SC Covilha vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
SPC
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 2
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
FAT
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FAT
0 - 2
LEX
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 1
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 0
ARO
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |